By: admincw On: mai 17, 2014 In: Non classé Comments: 0

Canada Goose Outlet Key political risks to watch in Taiwan Canada Goose Outlet

Canada Goose Jackets TAIPEI, July 1 (Reuters) The threat of military conflict between Taipei and Beijing has faded, us canada goose outlet sale Canada Goose Jackets raising the appeal of Taiwan for foreign investors, but sudden policy shifts and fractious local politics could cool Canada Goose Outlet the investment climate. Canada Goose Jackets

canada goose coats on sale Following is canada goose uk black friday a summary of key Taiwan risks to watch: canada goose coats on sale

Canada Goose Parka INTEREST RATE POLICY AND CAPITAL CONTROLS Taiwan central raised interest rates in June for the first time since the crisis, and is expected to hike them 12.5 to 25 basis points each quarter through to end 2011. Canada Goose Parka

The central bank remains wary of flows of « hot money » that have buoyed Asian asset prices.

The interventionist central bank moves almost daily to stop speculation in the island currency market. Earlier this year it warned local and foreign banks to follow canada goose black friday sale regulations when trading foreign exchange forward contracts, a move seen as another effort to discourage hot money. [ID:nTOE60L08O]

Taiwan has also advised foreign funds against investing in local time deposits and government bonds.

Canada Goose online But economists say the undervalued Taiwan dollar stands to catch up with other Asian currencies on any gains in the Chinese yuan Canada Goose online

canada goose store Economists expect the central bank to raise Canada Goose online rates again at a quarterly policy meeting in September by 12.5 to 25 basis points, and make a similar move in December. [ID:nTOE65O026] canada goose store

buy canada goose jacket cheap Capital controls could be tightened further if hot money resurfaces as an issue. This would push canada goose coats down the Taiwan dollar. However, Canada Goose Online analysts do not expect the kind of rigid capital controls that would cause major outflows. [ID:nHKG263506] buy canada goose jacket cheap

cheap Canada Goose The central bank response to any canada goose clearance sale appreciation of the Taiwan dollar due to a firmer yuan. cheap Canada Goose

canada goose deals CROSS STRAIT RELATIONS canada goose deals

canada goose clearance sale Taiwan President Ma Ying jeou promotion of closer economic ties with China after decades canada goose clearance of hostility culminated on June 29 in a landmark free trade deal that canada goose uk outlet cuts import tariffs on canada goose uk shop about 800 items and helps the island canadian goose jacket financial sector. [ID:nECFA] canada goose clearance sale

buy canada goose jacket Taiwan stock market also opened this year to qualified buy canada goose jacket cheap Chinese investors. And new trade and sea links will also help boost trade and reduce the risk of military conflict. buy canada goose jacket

But the issue of ties with China remains highly divisive in Taiwan and there is always the risk of new canada goose controversies, especially as 2010 is a local buy canada goose jacket election year with the winning party having a strong shot at the 2012 presidential race. Canada Goose sale In local elections last December, seen as a test Canada Goose Parka of uk canada goose outlet Ma policy of engagement with Beijing, his government lost some ground to the anti China opposition that Beijing hopes to keep out of power. row over Washington planned $6.4 billion arms sales package to Taiwan. relations. If a sale threatens economic ties with China, the impact on Taiwan asset prices will be negative, with stocks of firms that have benefited from greater access to China hit the hardest.

Results of the Nov. 27 local elections covering about 60 percent of the electorate and Taiwan major cities. If the ruling party wins big, it signals more trade dialogue with China. If the opposition gains, China relations could sour.

canada goose clearance Talks on further tariff reductions that could help Taiwan biggest industries like electronics, PVC plastics and machine tools. Beijing may resist making concessions on these as it wants to develop its own industries. canada goose clearance

canada goose coats The chance of a historic meeting between Ma and Chinese President Hu Jintao, tipped to take place in 2012 if Ma wins re election that year. It would signal strongly improved ties. canada goose coats

canadian goose jacket GOVERNMENT EFFECTIVENESS Ma has a strong mandate Canada Goose Coats On Sale to govern, as the KMT controls parliament and the presidency. This has bolstered government effectiveness and helped to avoid political deadlock. canadian goose jacket

canada goose black friday sale But widespread criticism of the response to Typhoon uk canada goose Morakot last year dented government popularity and led to a cabinet reshuffle. beef imports despite mad cow disease fears also backfired, prompting Taiwan parliament to scrap part of the agreement and irritating Washington. Cabinet flaps that saw one minister quit and another offer his resignation canada goose coats on sale raised further questions about leadership ability [ID:nTOE62B01S], and in recent months the government has been pressured to make final rulings on 40 death row inmates after a five year capital punishment hiatus. [ID:nTOE63T098] canada goose black friday sale

Canada Goose sale The high degree of polarisation between the two major parties, the China canada goose store friendly Nationalists (KMT) and the anti China opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), can undermine policy continuity and increase uncertainty. Canada Goose sale

Markets are unlikely to be impacted much by any political controversies unless they significantly weaken the KMT hold on power, the strength canada goose factory sale of which will become clearer after the Nov. 27 local elections. If that happened, the risk of policy deadlock and frostier ties with China would be a drag markets.

canada goose ECONOMIC REFORM Taiwan puts limits on foreign portfolio investment and restricts foreign direct investment in some sectors. As the economy recovers, investors will start to focus again on whether economic reform may relax some restrictions. In cheap Canada Goose a sign of growing focus cheap canada goose uk on competitiveness, the government has cut the corporate income tax rate from 20 to 17 percent. [ID:nTOE64S005] canada goose.

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